What the primary record establishes

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics excludes customs duties from the prices used in its import price indexes. Tariffs may still affect the prices suppliers and buyers agree on, which can later appear in the index. BLS import price methodology and tariffs ↗

What the distinction changes

If a good costs $100 and the duty rises from $5 to $15, the importer’s simplified cost rises from $105 to $115, about 9.5%. The supplier’s price stays at $100 in the example. A subsequent price concession could reduce the index price while the total cost remained above its original level.

What to check before drawing a conclusion

For an FX analysis, separate the contract currency, the supplier’s price and the duty. A dollar contract can absorb a currency move in the supplier’s margin initially. Inventory, renegotiation and retail pricing affect when higher costs reach consumers.